Skip to contentTeam Records
Seattle Mariners
69-78
.469
Team Statistics
Seattle MarinersSeasonAthletics
Hitting
.229AVG.246
.309OBP.319
.374SLG.404
.683OPS.723
583Runs645
165HR179
Last 10 Games
Seattle Mariners
5-5- Wvs Texas Rangers4-3
- Wvs Texas Rangers3-2
- Lvs Texas Rangers5-10
- Wvs Athletics2-0
- Lvs Athletics2-6
- Lvs Athletics6-7
- L
Prediction
Pregame forecast — the game is live. These numbers were computed before first pitch and do not reflect the current score.
Seattle MarinersAthletics
49%51%
Projected Score5.5 - 4.4Seattle Mariners @ Athletics
How strongly the model's signals agree with each other — not the odds this pick is correct.
Most signals agree
Most Influential Factors
- •Seattle Mariners's offense holds the edge over the opposing probable pitcher
- •Athletics has home-field advantage
- •
Analytics
Team Momentum
Seattle Mariners
5-5 last 10Streak W2Run diff -2
Athletics
6-4 last 10Streak W1Run diff +4
Offensive Rating
Seattle Mariners
AVG .229OPS .683OBP .309
Advanced Analytics
Recent Performance
Seattle Mariners
Form↑Last 53-23.2 RS/G4.2 RA/G-5 diff
Last 105-55.1 RS/G5.3 RA/G-2 diff
Athletics
Form→Last 53-23.2 RS/G2.6 RA/G+3 diff
Last 106-44.5 RS/G4.1 RA/G+4 diff
Statcast Analysis
Expected Batting
Seattle Mariners
Expected0.241
Actual0.233
-0.008 vs. expected
Athletics
Expected0.245
Actual0.249
+0.004 vs. expected
Expected Power
Seattle Mariners
Expected0.388
Actual0.379
-0.010 vs. expected
Conditions
Ballpark & Weather
Weather
62.6°F · ClearHumidity 77.3%Wind 11.5 mph WNW
Roof
Open air(Open)Run multiplier 0.99x · Park factor 96
4.23
ERA
5.35
2B
vs Athletics
4-7
W@ Boston Red Sox8-3W@ Boston Red Sox9-6L@ Boston Red Sox8-9Athletics
6-4- Wvs Toronto Blue Jays2-0
- Lvs Toronto Blue Jays2-4
- Wvs Toronto Blue Jays6-5
- L@ Seattle Mariners0-2
- W@ Seattle Mariners6-2
- W@ Seattle Mariners7-6
- W@ Seattle Mariners7-4
- W@ Texas Rangers9-2
- L@ Texas Rangers5-8
- L@ Texas Rangers1-8
Athletics carries stronger recent-form momentum
Sensitivity Analysis — What Changed This Prediction
Each row is that factor's share of the win probability above, in percentage points.
Matchup advantage↓1.6 ptsSeattle Mariners
Home field↑1.2 ptsAthletics
Momentum↑0.8 ptsAthletics
Bullpen freshness↑0.0 ptsAthletics
Seattle MarinersAthletics
Expected Hits8.19.2
Expected K's77.4
Upset watch: Even matchup — no clear favorite
SLG .374
Athletics
AVG .246OPS .723OBP .319SLG .404
Bullpen Fatigue
Seattle Mariners
5 games in last 6 days · 15 runs allowed last 3
Athletics
5 games in last 6 days · 9 runs allowed last 3
Matchup Advantage
Seattle MarinersAthletics
Even matchup
Expected Runs
Seattle Mariners5.5
vsAthletics4.4
Season runs per game, adjusted for the opposing probable pitcher's ERA.
Confidence Score
Most signals agree
Pitcher Trends
Seattle Mariners
George Kirby
Last 5 starts: 6.66 ERA · 1.60 WHIP · 40% QS
ERA↓WHIP↑K↓BB↑Velo—
Athletics
Jeffrey Springs
Last 5 starts: 5.19 ERA · 1.35 WHIP · 20% QS
ERA↑WHIP↑K↑BB↑Velo—
Bullpen Usage
Seattle Mariners
11 appearances (3d)18 appearances (7d)18 IP (7d)298 pitches (7d)
Athletics
6 appearances (3d)17 appearances (7d)24.3 IP (7d)365 pitches (7d)
Offensive Trends
Seattle Mariners
Last 6 games: 0.596 OPS · 0.275 OBP · 0.321 SLG
OPS↓OBP↓SLG↑HR↑K↓BB↓LOB↑
Athletics
Last 6 games: 0.616 OPS · 0.243 OBP · 0.373 SLG
OPS↓OBP↓SLG↓HR↓K↑BB↑LOB↓
Team Splits
Seattle Mariners
Home.221 / .306 / .36718
Away.237 / .312 / .38029
Day.241 / .316 / .37026
Night.221 / .305 / .37623
vs LHP.213 / .296 / .3310
vs RHP.236 / .316 / .39439
Athletics
Home.263 / .336 / .44478
Away.228 / .300 / .36212
Day.253 / .324 / .40147
Night.241 / .315 / .40444
vs LHP.249 / .311 / .41246
vs RHP.243 / .321 / .39844
Team Comparison
Seattle MarinersAthletics
Quality of Contact
Seattle Mariners
Exit Velo 88.8 mphHard Hit 38.9%Barrel 7.6%Sweet Spot 34.3%Launch Angle 13.6°Sample 9 batters
Athletics
Exit Velo 88.3 mphHard Hit 38.2%Barrel 7.1%Sweet Spot 33.7%Launch Angle 11.0°Sample 9 batters
Fastball Profile
Seattle Mariners
Velocity 96.4 mphSpin Rate 2286 rpmH-Break -11.3 inV-Break -18.3 inExtension 6.5 ft
Athletics
Velocity 91.1 mphSpin Rate 2148 rpmH-Break 9.3 inV-Break -16.7 inExtension 6.3 ft
Pitch Mix
Seattle Mariners
Fastball 53%Breaking 39%Offspeed 8%
Athletics
Fastball 46%Breaking 29%Offspeed 25%
Expected vs Actual
Seattle Mariners
Expected0.310
Actual0.336
+0.026 vs. expected
Athletics
Expected0.336
Actual0.365
+0.029 vs. expected
Pitch Quality
Seattle Mariners
Whiff 21.9%Chase 34.8%K% 19.9%BB% 5.5%Ground Ball 44.5%Fly Ball 25.1%Line Drive 22.9%
Athletics
Whiff 23.1%Chase 30.4%K% 18.2%BB% 9.1%Ground Ball 34.6%Fly Ball 33.2%Line Drive 26.2%
